ʟɪғᴇᴄʜᴀɪɴ ᴘʀᴏᴛᴏᴄᴏʟ

Social networks prioritize who you follow and are friends with. Depth outweighs breadth. Social media platforms prioritize content discovery and controversy. Breadth outweighs depth. The best p̶l̶a̶t̶f̶o̶r̶m̶ protocol provides optionality, enabling equal access to and facilitating both. #nostr

The Fiscal Singularity The Baseline? Financial Repression. The Optimal Asymmetric Hedge? Bitcoin. The United States faces a fiscal singularity. Structural deficits, positive real rates, and competing borrowing needs from AI infrastructure drive exponential debt growth under current policy. The baseline outcome—financial repression with periodic liquidity expansion and inflation bursts—carries the highest probability (around 80–85%). Lower-probability tails include marginal stabilization through acute pain-forced reforms or an AI productivity miracle. Escape remains unlikely without politically untenable changes. Policy incentives (stablecoin Treasury demand, Strategic Bitcoin Reserve, controlled USD devaluation) synergize to extend the system while exporting some inflation to scarce assets. Bitcoin uniquely serves as a global release valve, absorbing excess liquidity without harming essentials, defending against AI cyber threats via proof of work, and compensating savers in a debasement regime. Financialization introduces near-term volatility but builds long-term legitimacy and depth. This creates textbook asymmetry. In light of these realities, Bitcoin stands as the optimal hedge and purest expression of global liquidity for those with conviction and resilience. The full essay explores the math, timelines, AI bimodality, incentives, and falsification criteria in detail.

The Fiscal Singularity

The Baseline? Financial Repression. The Optimal Asymmetric Hedge? Bitcoin.

Lies go viral. Truth arrives too late to matter. Time makes injustice permanent.

P1: Financialization legitimizes Bitcoin in the eyes of skeptics but temporarily amplifies volatility. P2: Volatility delegitimizes Bitcoin in the eyes of skeptics and delays the market cap growth that would sufficiently dampen volatility. C: *textbook asymmetric opportunity*

In an age of noisy fiat and digital abundance, digital scarcity's unique signal commands an ever-expanding premium.

These are largely natural and structural deaths that happened to occur in capitalist societies, plus some genuine colonial and imperial atrocities. Blaming capitalism for Hurricane Katrina or the Revolutionary War is like blaming feudalism for the Black Death. It's a category error. The communist death toll is largely composed of politically caused excess deaths that were the *direct result* of trying to impose communism. Thus, it is much more reasonable (even if the exact number is debated) to speak of deaths caused by communist policies. One is a body count of deliberate or ideologically driven state killings. The other is an ideological exercise that counts nearly every misfortune under the sun as long as it happened in a society with markets and private ownership. There is no comparison.

“Don't generalize” amounts to statistically illiterate virtue-signaling. It’s rational to lean on base rates in low-information settings and then update a posteriori. To avoid tribalism, we must then apply the exact same standard when the in-group has the ugly priors.

Social media algorithms reward outrage over accuracy. Because the most politically engaged are disproportionately exposed to misinformation, their Dunning-Kruger-style overconfidence ironically renders them de facto low-information voters.

A paper Bitcoin product provided by Jeffrey Epstein's banker, the institution led by an ardent critic of the asset and convicted of manipulating the price of gold? No thanks.

Americans enamored with left-wing politicians who promise them free, high-quality services are primed for disappointment. Every year, the government collects record tax revenues. The results? Richer politicians, lobbyists, and NGOs. Poorer citizens.