China Morning Missive
You’d think there’s genuine drama going on here. That might be the case in Washington, but it’s just another Tuesday here in China.
It was three months ago when the Trump team said that a call with Xi was coming any day. That never transpired and all that followed was bellicosity via social media. Trump was then bombarded by Walmart and Costco making it clear that the shelves would be empty in a matter of weeks. Voila! A meeting is then announced in Geneva. The parties both said that progress was made.
Thing is, the Chinese decided to slow roll access to rare earth minerals. For me, it was a test to measure the level of desperation on the American side. Seems that desperation was rather intense. And thus began round two of the Trump rage machine.
In case you had any doubts, there won’t be any call, at least there’ll be no call initiated by the Chinese side. American buyers continue to scramble to place orders with Chinese producers before tariffs are - inevitably - returned to the +100% level. It is a mad scramble based on the people I’ve been talking to over the holiday weekend.
Perhaps all of this is to say, volatility is back in play.
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/trump-chinas-xi-will-likely-speak-this-week-white-house-says-2025-06-02/