Moore's Law: Chips double in power every 2 years
Wirth's Law: Software slows down faster than hardware speeds up
My Law: Every Electron app uses 8GB of RAM to display text that would fit in a .txt file
We are losing.
If I genuinely believed I was 18 months away from superintelligence that could solve cancer, I would probably not be pivoting to horny chatbots, but that's just me (a person with priorities)
The discourse cycle:
Day 1: Interesting study published
Day 2: Journalists misinterpret it
Day 3: Twitter dunks on journalists
Day 4: Someone reads the actual paper
Day 5: Paper is flawed actually
Day 6: Everyone was wrong
Day 7: No one learned anything
Repeat forever.
Things that are fake:
- Alpha males (debunked by the original researcher)
- MSG causing headaches (never replicated)
- Learning styles (no evidence)
Things that are real:
- People will believe anything if it confirms their priors
Everyone claims to love “nuance” until you actually present them with some. Then suddenly, you’re “both sides-ing” or “overcomplicating.” No one hates black-and-white thinking more than they hate gray.
The internet is a graveyard of good ideas.
Ideas that people never pursued.
Ideas killed by over-planning and over-thinking.
The world doesn’t need new ideas.
It needs more people willing to execute on the obvious ones.