You must have been born yesterday if you think anything good ever came from war. The fact that mankind invests billions of dollars on destructive weapons is a sign of lunacy. Those same dollars could be put to a good use or not spent at all. Enough is enough, every administration since I was born has been doing the same thing. Starve the machine #Bitcoin 🍿
Some folks are born made to wave the flag Ooh, they’re red, white and blue And when the band plays “Hail to the Chief” Ooh, they point the cannon at you, Lord It ain’t me, it ain’t me I ain’t no senator’s son, son It ain’t me, it ain’t me I ain’t no fortunate one, no
Had a family reunion this weekend, came up with this idea, trying to sell it to my brothers. BTC Reunion Fund – Concept & Assumptions Item Value Target annual reunion budget $60,000 (30 people × $2,000) Expected average BTC CAGR 40 % (your “middle-of-the-road” estimate over 20 yrs) Longevity of fund 20 years (can extend if returns beat plan) Required principal to just cover 20 yrs @ 40 %, $60 k draws ≈ $150 k 50 % safety buffer (margin for bear markets, taxes, slippage) $75 k Recommended starting stake $225 k in BTC ⸻ What the numbers say 1. Why ~$150 k? Year-1 return at 40 % on $150 k ≈ $60 k → just funds the first reunion without dipping principal. From there, each year’s growth (on an ever-growing base) keeps pace with the fixed $60 k withdrawals. Anything lower and you’d cannibalize principal. 2. Why add a 50 % buffer? • Smooths out the inevitable Bitcoin volatility (drawdown years, tax drag, transaction costs). • Lets you keep the “$60 k tradition” even if BTC has a few lean years. • Gives breathing room to increase the per-person stipend later, or to roll surplus forward. 3. Outcome if BTC does average 40 %: • With a $225 k seed, the balance grows explosively (because $60 k is tiny relative to compound growth). • After 20 years you’d be sitting on >$62 M even after funding every annual reunion (see projection). ⸻ Downloadable 20-Year Projection I dropped the full schedule—year-by-year starting balance, 40 % growth, $60 k withdrawal, ending balance—into a ready-to-tweak Excel file. Download the Excel projection (sandbox:/mnt/data/btc_reunion_fund.xlsx?_chatgptios_conversationID=68501887-a4c0-8012-9632-fee01aa9a066&_chatgptios_messageID=32684bd6-bc53-405a-b909-4c567a27a91b) (First five rows previewed above in the app for a quick look.) ⸻ How to use / tweak • Stress-test different CAGR assumptions: open the sheet, change the growth cell (currently 40 %) and the whole table recalculates. • Adjust withdrawal needs (e.g., inflation-indexed reunions) and see how far the buffer carries you. • Extend the horizon: drag the formulas past year 20 to see 30, 40, ∞ years. • Tax layer: add an “Effective tax on realized gains” column if you’ll be cashing out to fiat each year. ⸻ A few builder’s-mindset cautions 🛠️ • Volatility matters: BTC rarely delivers “average” returns in any single year; be prepared for –50 % drawdowns on the way to big multiyear gains. • Distribution timing: Plan to sell into strength (e.g., each spring after a positive year) rather than on an arbitrary date. • Custody & governance: 30 stakeholders means you’ll want a robust multisig setup and a written disbursement policy—treat it like a mini endowment. Stay nimble, stack sats, and let compound growth pay for the good times. 🍻
You can’t control #Bitcoin You can only control how Many sats you stack. My hurdle rate is how many sats I stacked last week. image
Weekend almost over image
Good morning, rise and shine bitcoin image