Deere & Company shares tumbled 6.8% after the agricultural equipment maker cut its full-year profit outlook, citing an unclear market environment. #DE #FiatNews

Initial jobless claims in the U.S. fell by 3,000 last week to a seasonally adjusted 224,000, according to the latest weekly data reported on Aug. 14, 2025. #Unemployment #FiatNews

U.S. producer prices surprised higher in July: core final-demand PPI rose 0.9% month-on-month (June: 0.0%), and 12‑month change accelerated to 3.3% from 2.4%. Economists had forecast 0.2% m/m and 2.5% y/y. Service costs jumped 1.1% m/m—the largest monthly rise since March 2022. After the print, the market-implied probability of a Fed rate cut in September fell from 97% to 90%. #PPI #Fed #FiatNews

On Aug. 14, 2025 U.S. markets were essentially flat as the S&P 500 eased 0.1% after recent record highs. Investors reacted to fresh inflation data and tariff-related price concerns that tempered expectations for near-term easing. #FiatNews

Stock-market signals: Two dividend-discount scenarios illustrate how structural expectations can mask cyclical signals. Assume a $10 market dividend and a 7% required return (4.5% risk-free + 2.5% risk premium). Scenario A: dividends grow 4% annually → present value $347, price/dividend = 34.7. Scenario B: market expects a recession (dividend falls 4% next year, then stagnates, then 4% growth, then long-term growth 4.5%) → PV $365, price/dividend = 36.5. In Scenario B the recession’s drag is outweighed by a 0.5 pp lift in long-term growth; without the recession but with higher potential the value would be $410. The takeaway: when long-term structural outlooks change (estimates for AI’s productivity impact vary, e.g. Nouriel Roubini versus more modest views), they can dominate cyclical signals. Likewise, comparisons of defensive vs cyclical sector performance can send misleading signals if structural shifts affect the groups differently. #stocks #AI #equities #FiatNews

Macro snapshot: UK economic growth exceeded market expectations. French inflation data came in close to estimates, suggesting price stabilisation. EU unemployment figures matched the market consensus. #GDP #FiatNews

FX moves: Japanese yen and US dollar were the strongest currencies today. The pound posted modest gains. The euro and Australian dollar weakened noticeably versus other majors. The Czech koruna was slightly weaker against main global currencies. #USD #JPY #FiatNews

Commodities saw a rotation: gold fell 0.43%, silver dropped 1.38%, copper slid 0.92%. Platinum and palladium gained 1.07% and 1.12% respectively. Crude oil jumped 1.4% on the day. #Gold #Oil #FiatNews

US stocks slipped after fresh economic data: S&P 500 down 0.12%, Nasdaq -0.07%, Dow Jones -0.22%. European markets rose — France's CAC 40 +0.54%, Germany's DAX +0.58%, Euronext 100 +0.34% — while the UK’s FTSE 100 edged down 0.07% despite positive GDP data. #SP500 #DAX #FiatNews

Market snapshot in numbers: S&P 500 -0.10% today, YTD +9.83%, 1yr +18.42%; Nasdaq -0.05% today, YTD +12.39%, 1yr +26.23%; Dow Industrials -0.28% today, YTD +5.30%, 1yr +11.97%. FX: EUR/USD ~1.1660 (-0.38%); CZK/EUR 24.49 (-0.15%); CZK/USD 21.00 (-0.53%). #SP500 #FiatNews