US Refuses Air Cover For European 'Reassurance Force' In Postwar Ukraine  US Refuses Air Cover For European 'Reassurance Force' In Postwar Ukraine The British and French-led effort to establish a 'coalition of the willing' to stand up to Russia and defend Ukraine just hit another major roadblock, as is reporting Wednesday the US has effectively vetoed a plan to provide American air defenses to back a "reassurance force" for postwar Ukraine. British Prime Minister Keir Starmer has been insisting that US-backed air defenses are key to any future permanent settlement plans for ending the war. Western proposals for ending the war have all featured foreign-backed and monitored security guarantees for Ukraine. image On this, Starmer had said back in February that "There must be a US backstop" and that the "US security guarantee is the only way to effectively deter Russia from attacking Ukraine again." After Western billions already sunk into keeping Ukraine's military and civic infrastructure afloat, the UK and France are also seeking from President Trump pledges of future air power, and border surveillance and intelligence. The Europeans also envision a strong, permanent security bulwark backed by the United States along NATO's eastern flank. Yet, President Trump has repeatedly warned allies that if NATO countries don’t pay their fair share they won’t be protected. This despite European leaders as well as some US politicians expressing recent concern that the Atlantic alliance is becoming weaker than ever, and that Article 5 collective defense is in peril. Trump has lashed out at NATO countries for not even meeting their current two percent spending goal while the unfair burden has long fallen United States. "We appreciate the work that the allies, particularly France and the United Kingdom together with Germany and others have undertaken to develop the coalition of the willing," US Ambassador to NATO Matthew Whitaker said at a press breifing Brussels on Wednesday. "We are counting on all our European allies to continue taking the leadership position in contributing military resources and providing the political capital to make security guarantees a reality." All of this comes as it was only on Tuesday that Dutch slapped down a proposal to increase defense spending to 3.5% of gross domestic product (GDP), key to NATO's capability targets, in a non-binding motion. While it doesn't have legal force at this point, this makes clear parliament's opinion, unleashing deeper tensions among NATO allies, and as the Trump White House exerts pressure to rapidly raise collective defense. Also,   reported separately Tuesday, "NATO is asking European member states to expand ground-based air-defense capabilities fivefold as the alliance races to fill a key gap in response to the threat of Russian aggression, people familiar with the matter said."  All indicators are that the Trump administration no longer envisions the United States as heading up NATO, especially when other countries can't step up and pay their fair share. Politico: Defense Sec. Hegseth skips Ukraine Defense Contact Group meeting — first Pentagon chief in 3 years to do so. The US quietly retreats from European security leadership, weakening Western military coordination, Politico. 1/ — Tymofiy Mylovanov (@Mylovanov) Still, the UK and France are mapping out a plan: "The allied force — which would help ensure the security of Ukraine’s airspace, coastline and land by placing European troops away from the border at critical ports and infrastructure alongside continued deliveries of military hardware — is dependent on a peace settlement, which European officials think is increasingly unlikely," Bloomberg describes. Of course, the other big problem in all of this is that Moscow has already made clear it will never accept NATO troops right along the border at its Ukrainian doorstep. Thu, 06/05/2025 - 02:45
This Neutered Isle: Britain After Britain This Neutered Isle: Britain After Britain My father emigrated to the United States from England in the 1940s, a few years after the Second World War. He was three years old and accompanied by his British mother, who had served in the Royal Air Force. His father was American, however, and from the instant my toddler father stepped off the boat in Manhattan, my grandfather set about turning his young son into the most American boy in New York. But my very English grandmother clung to her traditions. Lace doilies and tea time. Scones and mince pies. And a very cute accent she had all her life, although it had faded by the time she died. Americans shared her abiding love for the Queen and Winston Churchill widely. There was a powerful kinship between us, even if you couldn’t trace your direct ancestry back to the British Isles. The British were acknowledged as our cousins, distinguishable only by their accents and their teeth. Yes, all our best villains had English accents in our movies, but they were lovable villains. I’m glad my grandmother is not here to see what’s become of her homeland.   My Australian friends used to insult British people by calling them “poms,” which, according to these Aussies, meant they were “prisoners of Mother England.” The etymology of the expression is murky, but suffice it to say that being a prisoner of the Queen’s Empire was considered a terrible fate. In 2025, the surviving native-born British population seems to be increasingly trapped in an open-air penal colony formerly known as England. Every day another dystopian example of British tyranny against its own people emerges, and the tyrannical oppression tightens around their necks. A single post on Facebook can get a Briton sentenced to years in prison. In October of 2024, Lucy Connolly, a 42-year-old mother, was sentenced to 31 months in prison for posting “hate speech” on social media. Just this week, her appeal was denied. Connolly was responding hours after the Somali teenager with a long knife stabbed three little girls to death in their dance class. She posted this: “I’m absolutely f’ing done. If we don’t act now our country is finished. Mass deportation immediately, set fire to all the f’ing hotels full of the b******s for all I care, if that makes me racist so be it.” She was simply expressing what everyone horrified by the wanton slaughter felt inside. In the wake of Rotherham and countless other knife attacks, Lucy Connolly responded with the only weapon she had available to her: her voice. Unfortunately, in the draconian upside-down world of modern Britain, expressing any views to the right of the feckless, self-hating government does, in fact make, you a racist — and racists are not allowed in England. (The only exception of course is racism against native-born white British citizens.) Lucy Connolly will now have done more jail time than some actual murderers and rapists in the U.K. Was she calling for the actual burning of the immigrant hotels, or simply expressing that she is all out of empathy for the plight of these hordes of violent men filling her country? Is she being prosecuted for being anti-immigrant?  The prosecution even used unrelated texts they found on Connolly’s phone to convince the court that she had a pattern of “racism,” and therefore was a danger to the knife-wielding immigrant public.  This week, Tommy Robinson was released from prison after serving seven months, mostly in solitary confinement. Robinson is an outspoken “anti-immigration” activist who was jailed for “repeating false allegations against a Syrian refugee.”  Both Connolly and Robinson have learned the hard way that the U.K. has no free speech, and in fact is actively persecuting native-born English people who dare even to hold opinions about immigration that are contrary to those of the government. The Caliphate looms; it is inevitable, and the road to its gates is paved with the skulls of English children. Many British people seem not to notice; or, if they do, their programming is so thorough that they police their own thoughts carefully. Prince William dances along a knife edge; I’m convinced he understands the precariousness of his own position, but his options are limited. To speak out against immigration would be to dig his own grave. Stay silent, however, and one day he will be king of a country that no longer exists. Perhaps only someone looking at our trans-Atlantic cousins from behind the still-robust protections of our Bill of Rights can see the truth of what is happening in the United Kingdom. Maybe the British strains of Trump Derangement Syndrome and raging anti-Americanism have made the British blind to their own government’s petty depravities.  For almost 20 years now Americans have watched in horror as the British government aligned itself squarely against its own citizens, over and over again. A multi-decade, multi-city sex trafficking ring run mostly by Pakistani immigrants enslaved and raped hundreds, thousands of white English girls as young as ten. Parents who tried to rescue their daughters were arrested and charged with racism and hate speech. Crazed immigrants and their unassimilated offspring have committed hundreds of knife slaughters. The solution of the enfeebled nitwits in charge is to “ban knives,” of course. Sleepy English towns in the north are now majority Muslim, with all the vibrancy that comes with it. Not a native to be seen in the streets. In 1991, London was 80% native British. In 2021, this number had fallen to 36%. Queen Elizabeth oversaw the swift replacement of her own native people by new arrivals, all in the name of empathy and diversity. I suppose this is the final fruit of eighteenth century colonialism: one day your colonies end up ruling you. image But now we see that the real enemy to the British people is not the teeming mass of new arrivals unwilling to assimilate. The real enemy, as always, is their government. I suppose the colonizing spirit still endures in the British elite — only now, instead of conquering foreign lands to benefit the British, their leaders are content to allow the people of  foreign lands to conquer Britain. Thu, 06/05/2025 - 02:00
CNN Anchor Exits Network In Disgrace Following Defamation Embarrassment CNN Anchor Exits Network In Disgrace Following Defamation Embarrassment Authored by  , CNN star correspondent Alex Marquardt announced on Monday that he was leaving the network, just months after his misleading reporting on Navy veteran Zachary Young triggered a $5 million defamation payout.  image Marquardt made the announcement on X, reminiscing about his eight years with the network. “Tough to say goodbye but it’s been an honor to work among the very best in the business,” he  .  Though Marquardt did not specify what prompted his abrupt departure, former CNN media correspondent Oliver Darcy   that he was actually fired. Network executives and Marquardt allegedly had “editorial differences,” which led to the exit.   Some personal news: I’m leaving CNN after 8 terrific years. Tough to say goodbye but it’s been an honor to work among the very best in the business. Profound thank you to my comrades on the National Security team & the phenomenal teammates I’ve worked with in the US and abroad. — Alex Marquardt (@MarquardtA) The fallout follows Marquardt’s dubious coverage of Young’s selfless efforts to rescue stranded Afghans from the Taliban-controlled territory after the Biden administration’s disastrous withdrawal in 2021.  Marquardt misleadingly implied that Young may have profited unethically from these rescue operations. Contrary to evidence, CNN portrayed Young as someone exploiting vulnerable individuals in Afghanistan. FAFO 🚨 Meet Alex Marquardt he was fired at CNN for making up a fake story on Zachary Young, a private security contractor who was extracting Americans from Afghanistan Figures not disclosed, but settlement believed to be $50-$100M bucks The demise of fake news is underway — @Chicago1Ray 🇺🇸 (@Chicago1Ray) This portrayal cost CNN big time. Young insisted that he never charged Afghans for rescue missions and instead relied on private donations and nonprofit support.   CNN attempted to save face by issuing an apology, but Young ultimately sued anyway.  A jury ultimately agreed with Young’s grievances, ruling that the network defamed him.  Court documents revealed text messages in which Marquardt vowed to take Young down. “We’re gonna nail this Zachary Young mf**ker,” he wrote.  Those messages, along with other damning evidence, prompted a jury to award Young $5 million in damages. CNN quickly settled before additional penalties could be determined.   Young, who is also suing the Associated Press, had originally sought $1 billion from CNN. 🚨 JUST IN: Jury holds CNN liable for the defamation of U.S. Navy vet Zachary Young who helped with the Afghanistan evacuation - Independent The jury awarded the man $5M in damages. — Eric Daugherty (@EricLDaugh) Wed, 06/04/2025 - 13:40
Trump Breaks Silence On Brazen Ukraine Drone Op In Lengthy Putin Call Trump Breaks Silence On Brazen Ukraine Drone Op In Lengthy Putin Call After two days of deafening silence from the White House on Ukraine's Sunday massive drone assault, dubbed 'Operation Spider's Web' - which took out many key Russian aircraft, including long-range strategic bombers and likely even Russia's extremely rare  - President Trump has finally reacted publicly. The president revealed he has held a phone call with President Vladimir Putin on Wednesday, which significantly lasted about an hour and fifteen minutes. Trump warned that peace is not very close on the horizon and that the two leaders covered several pressing issues in their conversation. "We discussed the attack on Russia’s docked airplanes, by Ukraine, and also various other attacks that have been taking place by both sides." Trump went on to call it a good conversation, however "not a conversation that will lead to immediate Peace." image That's when Trump clarified that "President Putin did say, and very strongly, that he will have to respond to the recent attack on the airfields." The Russian leader's words are consistent with Dmitry Medvedev's ominous words , wherein the deputy chairman of Russia’s Security Council, said "retribution is inevitable". Medvedev had warned of what's coming: "Our Army is pushing forward and will continue to advance. Everything that needs to be blown up will be blown up, and those who must be eliminated will be." Below: Ukraine on Wednesday released additional footage of strikes on four Russian air fields, including on two A-50 aircraft in Ivanovo... СБУ показала унікальні кадри спецоперації «Павутина», у результаті якої уражено 41 військовий літак стратегічної авіації рф ➡️ https://t.co/OSxqEsI9CD — СБ України (@ServiceSsu) Trump didn't reveal much further in the way of details, after the White House in a Tuesday briefing again affirmed that President Trump did not have foreknowledge of the Ukrainian cross-border operation. (But did US intelligence? very likely so.) The fresh Truth Social statement was further taken up with Iran. "I stated to President Putin that Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon and, on this, I believe that we were in agreement. President Putin suggested that he will participate in the discussions with Iran and that he could, perhaps, be helpful in getting this brought to a rapid conclusion," he wrote. The US President concluded, "It is my opinion that Iran has been slowwalking their decision on this very important matter, and we will need a definitive answer in a very short period of time!" The full statement:  image This comes after the Ayatollah dismissed the latest US proposal which was submitted over the weekend. The central issue is the US demand that uranium enrichment be taken down to zero. Whether Iran, Ukraine-Russia, or Gaza - conservative voices have been urging Trump to stand by his campaign promises to end conflicts in hotspots around the world. But the fact remains that the US is still funding and weaponizing one side of these various wars, especially in the case of Ukraine. Trump's silence yesterday and today, after shooting his mouth off twice last week issuing threats to Putin, is fatally weakening his position. He is ceding foreign policy to Lindsey Graham. Soon we will be back to the feeble inertia of his first term. — George Szamuely (@GeorgeSzamuely) Of note in Trump's phone call with Putin is that nothing was stated from Trump in the way of a US demand that Putin not retaliate against Ukraine (or at least which was not disclosed in his Truth Social post). The absence of a preemptive condemnation for any major retaliation is interesting also combined with the White House Press Secretary saying yesterday to reporters that the war is very far away, which suggests it's no longer a top administration priority. Wed, 06/04/2025 - 13:20
Biden's Press Secretary Leaves The Democrat Party, Announces New Book Biden's Press Secretary Leaves The Democrat Party, Announces New Book  (emphasis ours), Former White House press secretary has a book out this fall that promises a close look at former President Joe Biden’s decision not to run for reelection and calls for thinking beyond the two-party system. Jean-Pierre herself has switched her affiliation to independent after working in two Democratic administrations, according to Legacy Lit, a Hachette Book Group imprint that will publish “Independent: A Look Inside a Broken White House, Outside the Party Lines” on Oct. 21. “Until January 20, I was responsible for speaking on behalf of the President of the United States,” Jean-Pierre, the first Black woman and openly gay person to hold the position of White House press secretary, said in a statement released Wednesday. 🚨 NEW — Karine Jean-Pierre is LEAVING the Democrat Party, as outlined in her new book "Independent." She tells her story of feeling disillusioned with Democrat politics after serving in two Democrat administrations, and calls for thinking "outside the party lines." The first… — Townhall.com (@townhallcom) “At noon on that day, I became a private citizen who, like all Americans and many of our allies around the world, had to contend with what was to come next for our country. I determined that the danger we face as a country requires freeing ourselves of boxes. We need to be willing to exercise the ability to think creatively and plan strategically.” Jean-Pierre, 50, succeeded Jen Psaki as press secretary in 2022 after previously serving as deputy press secretary and also working as a senior adviser during Biden’s victorious 2020 campaign. During President Barack Obama’s first term, she was a regional political director. Jean-Pierre was criticized at times for being evasive about Biden’s physical condition. Her book comes at a time when CNN’s and other mainstream media figures are finally admitting that they and the Democrats knew all along that Biden was unfit to serve. Wednesday’s announcement from Legacy Lit says that she will take readers “through the three weeks that led to Biden’s abandoning his bid for a second term and the betrayal by the Democratic Party that led to his decision.” “She presents clear arguments and provocative evidence as an insider about the importance of dismantling the torrent of disinformation and misinformation that has been rampant in recent elections and provides passionate insight for moving forward,” the announcement said. KJP: The White House was broken, I had nothing to do with it. Also KJP: The Biden videos are cheap fakes. — Western Lensman (@WesternLensman) — Jankyman (@GA_Optimal) Tease image via https://x.com/CorruptMM/status/1802810646440067297 Wed, 06/04/2025 - 13:05
Marc Andreessen Predicts 'Biggest Industry In The History Of The Planet' Marc Andreessen Predicts 'Biggest Industry In The History Of The Planet' Billionaire venture capitalist Marc Andreessen predicts that humanoid robotics will become the most lucrative market in history, surpassing the internet’s economic impact. In an interview with Palantir co-founder Joe Lonsdale at a forum hosted by the Ronald Reagan Presidential Foundation & Institute, Andreessen urged the United States to lead the development of robot factories, positioning the nation to drive what he called the next Industrial Revolution. “You’ve likely seen Elon Musk’s Tesla Optimus robot,” Andreessen told the audience, referencing the humanoid robot being developed at Musk’s electric vehicle company. “These humanoid robots—this general-purpose robotics trend—will take off in the next decade, and it will happen at an enormous scale.” . : 'Hundreds of Billions' of Robots Coming, U.S. Can Lead Next Industrial Revolution by Building Them "You've all probably seen, — Josh Caplan (@joshdcaplan) Andreessen, co-founder of the tech investment firm Andreessen Horowitz (A16Z), envisioned a future with “billions, perhaps tens of billions” of robots performing tasks from industrial production to healthcare. “I think there’s a plausible argument, which Elon also believes, that robotics is going to be the biggest industry in the history of the planet,” he said. ARK Investment Management LLC’s Big Ideas 2025 https://www.investing.com/news/stock-market-news/ark-predicts-robotics-revenue-to-hit-26-trillion-by-2025-93CH-3848188 supports this vision, forecasting a transformative robotics industry that boosts productivity across sectors. It highlights specialized robots, such as household appliances, slashing time spent on daily tasks. The report projects generalizable robotics could generate over $26 trillion in global revenue, split evenly between $13 trillion in household robotics and $13 trillion in manufacturing robotics. The global Smart Robots Market is expected to grow from a valuation of USD 33.83 billion in 2024 to $135.83 billion by 2034, reflecting a robust CAGR of 26.5%, according to a new report by . Fueled by the integration of artificial intelligence and advanced sensor technologies, smart robots are expanding into diverse applications. Global demand for enhanced productivity and safety across organizations, coupled with the synergy of cognitive systems and sensor technology, is driving rapid adoption and propelling the market’s worldwide growth. However, competition is intensifying. China’s https://www.techinasia.com/news/china-produce-global-humanoid-robots-2025#:~:text=The%20%E2%80%9CMade%20in%20China%202025,%25%20to%20over%2050%25%202. initiative aims to deploy millions of robots, while Japan and South Korea advance their own automation ecosystems. “We don’t need to bring back old manufacturing jobs,” Andreessen said, dismissing labor-intensive assembly lines. Instead, he championed what Musk calls “alien dreadnought factories”—highly automated, state-of-the-art facilities producing robots, drones, and autonomous vehicles at unprecedented scale. Andreessen described a future of transformative economic growth, with thousands of new industrial categories emerging nationwide. “Coastal tech investments will yield massive returns, but we’ll create tens or hundreds of millions of jobs in rural areas,” he said, emphasizing advanced manufacturing’s potential to revitalize America’s heartland. This shift, he argued, would enable the U.S. to lead the “third or fourth Industrial Revolution,” setting global standards for robotics and automation while fostering widespread prosperity. Subscribe to , the daily newsletter that cuts through the chaos of Tech, Markets, and Freedom to give you the truth.  “We shouldn’t be screwing screws by hand on rubber mats for 10 hours,” the billionaire said. “We should be designing and building the future.” Andreessen warned that if the U.S. fails to rapidly scale robot factories, China could seize the lead. “We have to do this because if we don’t, China will, and we don’t want to live in that world,” he said. Last month, Musk https://www.ndtv.com/world-news/biggest-product-ever-elon-musk-shares-video-of-teslas-optimus-robot-cooking-cleaning-8487394#:~:text=This%20time%2C%20the%20billionaire%20has,ever%22%3A%20the%20Optimus%20robot. that the company’s Optimus humanoid robot, now capable of learning tasks from human instructions, will be “the biggest product of all time.” Musk argued Tesla’s unique combination of AI, manufacturing scale, and robotics expertise positions it as the only company poised to produce intelligent humanoid robots at scale. “This is a super big deal,” he added, predicting Optimus’s impact could outstrip the next biggest product by a factor of ten. Wed, 06/04/2025 - 12:45
Rubio Condemns CCP's Tiananmen Square Massacre, Marking 36th Anniversary Rubio Condemns CCP's Tiananmen Square Massacre, Marking 36th Anniversary U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio condemned the Chinese Communist Party’s (CCP) “brutal crackdown” of the June 4, 1989, student protests in Tiananmen Square, in a social media post ahead of the anniversary. “We remember the Chinese Communist Party’s brutal crackdown 36 years ago in Tiananmen Square and commemorate the courage of the innocent people killed and imprisoned that day. Freedom, democracy, and self-rule are human principles the CCP cannot erase,” he on X. Rubio also issued a State Department <a href="http://state.gov/releases/office-of-the-spokesperson/2025/06/on-the-36th-anniversary-of-the-tiananmen-square-massacre/" rel="nofollow">statement</a> commemorating the students, with a rebuke to the CCP for its censorship and human rights abuses. image It noted that the pro-democracy demonstrations had begun in the spring of 1989 and “inspired a national movement.” “Hundreds of thousands of ordinary people in the capital and throughout China took to the streets for weeks to exercise their freedoms of expression and peaceful assembly by advocating for democracy, human rights, and an end to rampant corruption,” the statement reads. “The CCP responded with a brutal crackdown, sending the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) to open fire in an attempt to extinguish the pro-democracy sentiments of unarmed civilians gathered on Beijing’s streets and in Tiananmen Square.” The CCP met protesters with tanks and opened fire, and protester casualties numbered in the thousands, but Chinese authorities, in one of its best-known instances of censorship, told the Chinese people that the students had been the ones to attack the soldiers. “The CCP actively tries to censor the facts, but the world will never forget,” Rubio stated. Rubio commemorated the bravery of the demonstrators who were killed, “as well as those who continue to suffer persecution as they seek accountability and justice for the events of June 4, 1989.” “Their courage in the face of certain danger reminds us that the principles of freedom, democracy, and self-rule are not just American principles. They are human principles the CCP cannot erase,” Rubio said. Then-President George H.W. Bush condemned the CCP’s actions, and the State Department has https://history.state.gov/milestones/1989-19George%20H.W.%20Bush2/tiananmen-square to do so annually. Human rights activists the world commemorate the anniversary of the Tiananmen Square massacre, but in China, the CCP surveils and limits the movement of known human rights advocates ahead of major anniversaries like June 4 to prevent demonstrations. The CCP has a long record of human rights abuses, but Uyghurs, an ethnic minority the CCP persecutes in Xinjiang. The CCP terms them the “five poisons.” Wed, 06/04/2025 - 12:25
Bitcoin Becomes Safe Collateral: JPMorgan To Offer Loans Financed With Crypto Assets Bitcoin Becomes Safe Collateral: JPMorgan To Offer Loans Financed With Crypto Assets Less than 8 years ago, when bitcoin was trading at $4,000 (compared to $104,000 today), Jamie Dimon demonstrated once again that he may be an ok big bank CEO (after all, without TARP JPMorgan would not exist today), but he is a terrible visionary when he warned his traders that anyone caught trading bitcoin"would be fired." image Fast forward to today, then, when not only will Jamie (who at almost 70 should really be thinking succession) not fire anyone at JPM for trading the best performing asset of the millennium, if not all time, but according to Bloomberg JPM will soon allow trading and wealth-management clients use some cryptocurrency-linked assets as collateral for loans, a major step by the biggest US bank to make inroads into an industry President Donald Trump has pledged to support. According to the report, the firm will start providing financing against crypto exchange-traded funds, beginning with BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), in the coming weeks, people familiar with the matter said. The move marks the latest effort involving crypto among the biggest US banks after the Trump administration started removing regulatory barriers. Just as importantly, JPMorgan - which until now refused to add crypto to the calculation of net worth - will also begin taking wealth-management clients’ crypto holdings into account when assessing their overall net worth and liquid assets, the people said, asking not to be named as the plans aren’t public. That means cryptocurrencies will be given similar treatment to stocks, cars or art when calculating how much a client can borrow against their assets. Which, incidentally, is precisely what we predicted last November when we said that Bitcoin is about to become "safe collateral." Bitcoin is about to become "safe collateral" Cantor Fitzgerald is discussing receiving support from Tether for its planned multibillion-dollar program to lend dollars to clients who put up Bitcoin as collateral: BBG — zerohedge (@zerohedge) JPMorgan was one of the first major banks to start using blockchain technology for services like payments, and counts crypto exchanges like Coinbase among its clients. Which is ironic because its CEO remains a vocal crypto skeptic, and while he won't fire the firm's bitcoin traders, he said as recently as the firm’s investor day in May that he’s “not a fan” of Bitcoin, but that JPMorgan would allow clients to buy it. “I don’t think we should smoke, but I defend your right to smoke,” Dimon said at the time. “I defend your right to buy Bitcoin, go at it.” And starting in the next few days, Dimon will start issuing cigarette-backed loans... pardon bitcoin-backed. The fact that IBIT - and soon all other crypto assets- will be eligible collateral, means that large holders no longer need to sell when they need access to liquidity, but can simply pledge their IBIT for immediate funding needs, breaking the loop of forced liquidations which until recently allowed coordinated short attacks to pressure the market at will. In fact, with IBIT pledgable, it will allow what many have called a perpetual cycle of buying bitcoin, using it to issue loans, then using the loan proceeds to buy even more bitcoin, a cycle which was responsible for much of the cryptocurrency surge in the 2020-2021 period.  Big banks have been making plans to give clients access to crypto this year, responding to client demand and a more favorable regulatory environment. Rival Morgan Stanley is working on a plan to add cryptocurrency trading to its E*Trade platform, Bloomberg reported last month. It's not just bitcoin: the overhaul at JPM will also benefit holder of Ether as other crypto ETFs are expected to be included after the change is made.  Spot-Bitcoin ETFs were introduced in the US in January 2024 and have swelled to oversee a combined $128 billion, making them one of the most successful launches ever. Meanwhile, the cryptocurrency itself has skyrocketed since Trump won the presidential election last November, reaching an all-time high of $111,980 in May. The Bloomberg report helped push the price of both bitcoin and ether near session highs. As for what happens next, we predicted that as well last December when we said that it is just a matter of time before the "creative" bank that came up with Credit Default Swaps issues a bitcoin SPV that offers institutional buyers a 5% coupon (before leverage). We are probably weeks away from JPMorgan offering a bitcoin SPV to institutions which pays a 5% coupon (before leverage) — zerohedge (@zerohedge) We are confident that this will very soon happen.  Wed, 06/04/2025 - 12:05
Fink-ing About A New Globalization Fink-ing About A New Globalization By Michael Every of Rabobank Fink-ing about a new globalisation In a daily markets update there are many times when all that matters are the economic data. There are also days when the bigger picture matters more. The dichotomy between yesterday’s weak US factory orders (-3.7%) and the surprise increase in JOLTS (7.4m) is worth a cursory glance, as is weaker-than-expected Aussie Q1 GDP at 0.2% q-o-q vs. 0.4% expected (so, “rate cuts!”), but none of them mean much vs. what we just saw at the global strategy level. Iran said it could accept a proposed US nuclear deal whereby a regional consortium (it, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, the UAE, and maybe Turkey) would see civilian uranium enrichment under IAEA supervision if it’s done on its soil - otherwise it will reject it, opening the door to a US or Israeli strike. Is this geopolitical out-of-the-box thinking and a Middle East Pax Americana with low (dollar-denominated) energy prices, high economic growth, and low US military presence, or a Pandora’s box? Only time will tell, but this could prove a high order geopolitical pivot point; as The Israeli government may be close to collapse over the issue of drafting its ultra-orthodox citizens --news on that could come Wednesday-- as thousands of ex-jihadis are being brought into a new Western-accepted Syrian army: what could go wrong there looking at history? Ukraine hit Russia again, underwater-mining the foundations of the Kerch bridge leading to Crimea. So, no ceasefire or peace, and while Russia is making slow gains on the ground in Ukraine, the latter is hitting Russia harder, something that will happen more as more advanced weapons are shipped to it. That backdrop matters to a Europe now rolling up its sleeves on the military front. Separately, Ukraine stated its grain harvest could be down 10% this year: imagine if the war were to bring that figure down further, as Russia has tried to do before.  In Europe, the Dutch government collapsed over migration issues just before the upcoming NATO summit it’s hosting: a new election looms there at some point a few months from now, until which we will get a caretaker administration.  In the UK, media underline that NATO will at that meeting force London to spend 3.5% of GDP on defense (and another 1.5% on related infrastructure) just after its Strategic Defence Review said it wouldn’t, leaving London looking silly, and having no idea how to pay for it: indeed, NATO is now seeking a fivefold boost in its ground-based air defence systems. It’s not just the UK that’s true for of course. Vast sums need to flow to armed forces globally. In Asia, regular military high-spender South Korea’s left-leaning Lee Jae-Myung won the presidential election after his predecessor Yoon Suk Yeol’s impeachment for his declaration of martial law. The full geopolitical ramifications of that are still unclear, although Lee is certainly seen as more pro-China than Yoon. Japan said it might join the expensive US Golden Dome anti-missile plan, which underlines which way it was always going to lean geopolitically, and shows how little optionality it has on trade – the more so given a media report underlining the accelerating fall in Japanese automakers’ market share in Thailand, a former lock-in for them for decades due to fortified layers of integrated Japan-only supply chains which has been up-ended by the entry of cheaper Chinese EVs not needing them. This underlines how technology shifts can overturn established trading patterns and economic power structures, especially for those who fall behind the curve. Still no US-Japan trade deal yet though. President Trump signed 50% steel & aluminium tariffs but exempted the UK due to their US trade deal; and he is set to waive some legal requirements to boost US critical minerals/rare earth output, where China has a current monopoly it’s using to throttle industrial supply chains. That doesn’t show up on Bloomberg data yet, but that doesn’t mean it isn’t a critical issue.  Treasury Secretary Bessent said Beijing has a choice on whether it’s a dependable trade partner, reiterating it must shift to a more consumption-led economy – and, presumably, to allow others to get the rare earths they need for industry. On consumption, Elon Musk called Trump’s Big Beautiful Bill a “disgusting abomination”, as Bessent underlined in an interview that while he wants to get the fiscal deficit down, the aim is to do so via higher growth rather than a hard fiscal stop. Meanwhile, the FBI arrested a Chinese national for allegedly smuggling a dangerous biological pathogen, fusarium graminearum, an “agroterrorism agent,” into the US to research at the University of Michigan, where she works, increasing tensions over Chinese student visas and current ‘we don’t do geopolitics’ US university research models. That’s an emerging global bifurcation with major implications. Yet while there are stories of US academics now considering moving abroad --who else has US money, labs, and academic freedoms?-- the loss of Chinese students to the US is more a geopolitical blow to Beijing (and the Ivy League) than it is an economic one to universities which reject 99% of equally-qualified applicants from other countries.  As backdrop to all this, a Wall Street Journal op-ed argued ‘The War of Revision is Coming’, where Taiwan may be the next Ukraine, and warns: “All democratic societies will ultimately have to reckon with this unwelcome global transition from a postwar to a prewar era in world history." But potential rate cuts are more important though, right, Mr. Market? Yes, maybe… if they help pay for stepped-up military expenditures implied by the above. Yet how do we structure our political-economies to ensure they do that and not --for a random example that would obviously never be part of any sensible government’s game-plan in the current circumstances-- push up house prices instead? *If* you believe what the Wall Street Journal op-ed says, this is an existential issue for democratic societies: but you wouldn’t think so from how many are acting. However, some key voices are talking new talk. BlackRock CEO Larry Fink used a Financial Times op-ed to say “globalization is over” and we need a “new draft” without massive trade and financial imbalances causing inequality, and with local economies that help workers(!) The logical implications of such are staggering: no more massive trade surpluses and deficits, upending the global trading structure; no more free-wheeling global capital flows creating those trade surpluses and deficits and holdings of certain assets; more local consumption first, with what’s left exported, so less trade overall; and a reallocation of purchasing power from top income deciles to those at the bottom via more inclusive local capitalism(s) across all those taking part in the new system. Of course, this BlackRock rhetoric could be the next ‘Build Back Better’, i.e., an empty incantation nobody actually expected to achieve anything but which sounded good to the disaffected. However, it would be hard to argue that things are currently static. Rather, they are moving fast and breaking things.  Indeed, what Fink just said sounds a lot like some past neo-mercantilists and some interpretations of what the White House is trying to achieve. (Which doesn’t mean they will succeed but is naturally why BlackRock just said it.)  You want to talk jolts? Look at that bigger picture, not the US (or other) data. Wed, 06/04/2025 - 11:45
Oil Prices Tumble On Report That Saudis Want To 'Super-Size' OPEC Production Hikes Oil Prices Tumble On Report That Saudis Want To 'Super-Size' OPEC Production Hikes Update (1130ET): Having surged overnight and extended gains on a big crude draw (and trade-talk progress with the Europeans), oil prices are tanking now as Bloomberg reports that, according to people familiar with the matter, Saudi Arabia wants OPEC+ to continue with accelerated oil supply hikes in the coming months as it puts greater importance on regaining lost market share. The kingdom, which holds an increasingly dominant position within OPEC+, wants the group to add at least 411,000 barrels a day in August and potentially September, the people said, asking not to be named because the information was private. Riyadh is keen to unwind its cuts as quickly as possible to take advantage of peak demand during the northern hemisphere summer, one person said. ... ...the kingdom sees no reason to slow down — as Russia, Algeria and Oman suggested at the last OPEC+ meeting — because seasonal demand will peak in the coming months, the people said. Before the group’s most recent meeting, , according to people familiar with the matter. The reaction was instant, slamming WTI down 2%... image We would imagine will not be pleased at this outburst (or the US shale producers or the Kazakhs), but Trump might be happy with what his old friends in The Kingdom are saying (and doing). *  *  * Crude prices are higher this morning on signs of progress in trade talks between the US and EU and the API report of a major drawdown in American crude inventories (despite product builds). Geopolitical tensions continue to drive prices more aggressively as the possibility of a Putin-Zelensky meeting came and went and Iranian peace deal talks stumble. The big question for traders is - will the official data confirm API's drawdown? API Crude -3.28mm Cushing +952k Gasoline +4.73mm Distillates +761k DOE Crude -4.30mm Cushing +576k Gasoline +5.22mm Distillates +4.23mm The official data confirmed API's report with a large crude draw offset by big draws in products... image Source: Bloomberg Even including the 509k barrel addition to the SPR, total crude stocks fell by the most since December... image Source: Bloomberg The rig count continues to slide (now at its lowest since Dec 2021), and despite Trump's 'Drill, Baby, Drill' push, US crude production remains well of its highs... image Source: Bloomberg WTI extended gains after the official data confirmed API's... image Source: Bloomberg Oil rose at the start of the week after a decision by OPEC+ to increase production in July was in line with expectations, easing concerns over a bigger hike. However, prices are still down about 11% this year on fears around a looming supply glut, while traders continue to monitor US trade tariffs as President Donald Trump said his Chinese counterpart is “extremely hard” to make a deal with. Saudi Arabia led increases in OPEC oil production last month as the group began its series of accelerated supply additions, according to a Bloomberg survey. Nevertheless, the hike fell short of the full amount the kingdom could have added under the agreements. Wed, 06/04/2025 - 11:25