Global environment and strong US economy to support USD
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The global environment and strong US economy are expected to support the USD. Global rates have risen as markets scale back expectations of rate cuts, aligning with the view that market pricing remains too aggressive on most G10 central banks. The US economy remains strong, supported by a tight labor market. Concerns about regional banks in the US have been reignited by the New York Community Bank incident. The war in the Middle East has continued, but the market impact has been limited. The USD has outperformed this year due to the repricing of global rate cuts and the underlying strength of the US economy. GBP has also benefited from a sharp repricing of the Bank of England and elevated inflation. The Scandies have faced headwinds, while JPY faces headwinds from a dovish Bank of Japan and higher global real rates. The outlook is for a stronger USD and weaker Scandies in the medium term. Risks to the forecast include a sharp drop in core inflation and a more resilient global economy. The publication is prepared by Danske Bank for information purposes only and is not an offer or solicitation to purchase or sell any financial instrument.
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https://www.fxstreet.com/analysis/global-environment-and-strong-us-economy-to-support-usd-202402131410