Israel never misses an opportunity.. Yesterday, the entire govs of the Arab world offered Israel full normalization with 56 Muslim countries if it merely gives Palestinians less than 22% of their homeland &ends the occupation Israel rejected that most generous offer immediately image
Egypt's plan "Gaza's Early Recovery, Reconstruction & Development" is very realistic & offers a solid path towards reviving Gaza; having Hamas step down from gov; achieving intra-Palestinian unification; restoring stability & calm... all without compromising Palestinian rights🧵
Trump talking directly to Hamas can be a positive milestone (assuming it won't turn into a "divide & conquer" strategy). Tony Blair once allowed 2 Hamas leaders to quietly visit the UK in 2006, meet MPs, tour Northern Ireland & learn from the experiences of the IRA & Sinn Féin. The visit was very "enlightening" for those 2 leaders & helped tip the power of balance inside Hamas towards the moderate wing that advocates for greater diplomatic engagement. One of those two leaders, Ahmed Yousef, who was Ismael Haniya's advisor, then formulated a peace proposal that was too generous to the extent that president Abbas rejected it & thought it conceded too much to Israel. The other leader, MP Sayed Abu Musameh, said after the visit Hamas won't object to Israel being a Jewish state. He did a long interview in which he recognized Jewish suffering in Europe & their contributions to civilization in Muslim countries. Israel & the US pressured Blair to never invite any Hamas leaders again & he bowed to the pressure. (Israel always fears what it calls "Palestinian peace offensive", when Palestinians become too moderate, rise to international respectability, & in turn mak Israel look bad). The movement was afterwards isolated, defunded & boycotted. That isolation has always only empowered hardliners who advocated that only "might makes right", & that diplomatic engagement is pointless. The Western practice of choosing partners; conferring legitimacy on one Palestinian party & withholding it from another fuelled the intra-Palestinian division & obstructed repeated reconciliation attempts. Blair would later remark in 2017 that it was a mistake to boycott Hamas after its 2006 electoral victory. As I once wrote in ECFR, engaging with non-state armed actors can - if done right - moderate their politics. It depends on how it's carried out, who is being talked to in these groups, for what purpose, what the end game is & the incentives being offered.
🚨Israel is deliberately creating an environmental catastrophe in Gaza as "leverage" against Palestinians civilians! The IDF is preventing the transfer of toxic waste piling on the streets to Gaza's landfill, which is leading to the spread of serious diseases & infections image
🚨Israeli hostage families are crystal clear that Netanyahu is the one violating the ceasefire & doing "everything to blow up the agreement" Not a single US mainstream media is quoting Einav Zangauker's words. They're instead deliberately manufacturing consent for genocide again image
Disgusting propaganda! Hamas NEVER rejected “extending ceasefire’s first phase” The agreement states phase 1 should be AUTOMATICALLY EXTENDED indefinitely as long as Phase 2 negotiations are ongoing Hamas rejected Netanyahu’s condition to NEVER have phase 2 & never end the war! image
I was ruthlessly attacked when I warned a month ago that Israel's gov has been weaponizing the Bibas tragedy. Now Haaretz states the same conclusion, word for word, while none of Israel's propagandists are calling Haaretz "vile" or "antisemitic". image
Incredible to see Israeli leaders shamelessly admitting 75% of Gazans are refugees whom Israel kicked out of "Haifa, Tiberias, Acre, Jaffa..." & stole their homes So why do they now have to be kicked out of Gaza instead of allowing them to return to their dispossessed homes?
Gazans are desperately seeking shelter from the cold in bombed buildings Some of those buildings are now collapsing on the heads of their inhabitants, while Israel continues to ban any reconstruction I have friends & family with small children staying in buildings like those. I begged them not to, given the mortal risk, but their alternative are tiny flimsy tents that quickly drown in the rain
In Doha & Cairo, there's cautious optimism that phase 2 of the ceasefire is possible. Mediators & negotiators say Steve Witkoff is serious about it; that he enjoys seniority on this file (e.g. than Rubio or Waltz) & that he isn't falling for Netanyahu's tricks. They fear, however, that Netanyahu will try to either collapse the ceasefire; prolong phase 1 & demand more hostages out in return; Lebanonize Gaza (i.e. no IDF withdrawal, conduct targeted assassinations & airstrikes, while the other side can't respond to maintain the ceasefire). They also fear that even if Netanyahu agrees to phase 2, he will empty it out of any substance & make it look a lot like phase 1 (i.e. no IDF withdrawal, no official end to the war). Mediators say Netanyahu will NOT agree to phase 3 (i.e. reconstruction, full withdrawal) unless pressured by Trump, which is unlikely. Hamas say they have 25 living Israeli captives for phase 2 & won't compromise unless Israel agrees to an actual ceasefire & withdrawal, not just another temporary pause. Hamas has internally made a decision to step down from government & hand control over Gaza either to a technocratic Palestinian Authority gov or an administrative committee of 15 politically independent individuals (Egypt's proposal). This should make it easier to reach phase 2. Full disarmament as a prerequisite to a peace process or a condition for ending the Gaza war remains a red line for Hamas. “We won’t give Israel in the negotiations what they failed to accomplish in 15 months of war” they say. (Two Hamas leaders have recently said the group would lay down its arms as the outcome of a peace agreement that ends the occupation, similar to Ireland's IRA after the Good Friday agreement). However, there's still room for compromise in a number of ways.